Mongabay · Climate & nature

Brazil Election Could Impact Amazon Conservation

Brazil's election presents a critical juncture for Amazon conservation, with a tight race potentially reversing recent progress in reducing deforestation.

President Lula's administration saw Amazon deforestation drop to a decade low. However, experts warn a victory by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro could reinstate policies favoring agribusiness and mining.

Such policy shifts could increase deforestation, Indigenous land invasions, and mercury contamination from river dredging.

The election's outcome will also shape Brazil's stance in international climate diplomacy and its adherence to global environmental targets.

Lula's government has reduced Amazon deforestation, but gains are fragile. Bolsonaro may revert to his father's policies, favoring resource extraction over conservation.

Despite conservation efforts, Lula's administration has also promoted infrastructure projects like the BR-319 highway, which critics fear will increase deforestation.

Conservation funding, like the Amazon Fund, faces uncertainty, with potential donor delays pending election results.

A Bolsonaro presidency could risk Brazil's access to European markets under the EU's Deforestation Regulation, impacting its major soy and beef exports.

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